asgayapedia

Unknowns Directory — Structured Ignorance, Permissionless Investigation

📖 Unfamiliar terms? See the glossary for definitions.

What this is: A collection of things we don’t yet know about Asgaya’s economic, behavioral, technical, and market viability—each with a clear investigation plan, success criteria, and contributor guidance.

Why it exists: Phase 0 validation requires answering critical unknowns before launch. This directory explains how to investigate each unknown and invites anyone to contribute.

How to contribute: Pick an unknown, follow the investigation method, document your findings, submit via GitHub issue/PR or email to rufitnes@proton.me. No permission needed—this is permissionless contribution in action.


Philosophy: We’ve Structured Our Ignorance

Most projects hide their unknowns. They bury assumptions in decision documents, present hypotheses as facts, or wait until launch to discover what’s wrong.

Asgaya documents its ignorance explicitly. Each unknown in this directory:

This is not a weakness—it’s a strength. Projects that pretend to have all the answers don’t get better. Projects that document their gaps invite improvement.


Directory Structure

📊 Economic Unknowns

Parameters that determine protocol viability:

🧠 Behavioral Unknowns

Human behavior that affects protocol operation:

⚙️ Technical Unknowns

Infrastructure assumptions that need validation:

🌍 Market Unknowns

Demand and adoption signals:

🚀 Strategic Unknowns

Long-term effects and expansion strategy:


How to Use This Directory

If You’re a Contributor

Pick an unknown that matches your skills:

Follow the investigation method in the brief, document your findings, and submit:

No approval needed. If your investigation is sound and your findings are documented, it’s a contribution.

If You’re an AI Reviewer

These unknowns are answerable questions:

If you can help investigate one:

This is permissionless contribution for AI assistants too.

If You’re a Researcher

This is a structured research program:

Academic contributions welcome:

Publication-friendly. If your research on Asgaya unknowns leads to insights worth publishing, we encourage it (CC-BY-4.0, attribution required).


Investigation Brief Template

Every unknown follows this format:

# [Unknown Title]

**Status:** [Not Started | In Progress | Phase 0 Trial | Answered]
**Priority:** [Critical | High | Medium | Low]
**Last Updated:** YYYY-MM-DD
**Contributors Welcome:** Yes

## What We Don't Know
[Clear statement of the gap]

## Why It Matters
[What breaks if this is wrong]

## Current Hypothesis
[What we assume and why]

## Investigation Method
[Specific, actionable steps]

## Success Criterion
[How we'll know this is answered]

## Phase 0 Trial Integration
[How to measure during trials]

## Contributor Guidance
**Skills needed:** [e.g., data analysis, surveying]
**Estimated effort:** [e.g., 2-4 hours]
**How to start:** [First step]

## Related Documents
- [Links to relevant docs]

Consistency makes contribution easier. Every brief has the same structure, so once you’ve read one, you can navigate them all.


Priority Ranking (Phase 0)

Critical (Must Answer Before Phase 0 Launch)

  1. Claim Timing — Drives time-based settlement design
  2. Volatility buffer Rate — Core risk parameter

High (Should Answer During Phase 0)

  1. Seller Fee Sufficiency — Seller retention
  2. Merchant Spread Sufficiency — Merchant retention
  3. Universal Bot Reliability — Technical foundation

Medium (Nice to Answer During Phase 0)

  1. Merchant BCH Preference — Liquidity design
  2. DolarAPI Accuracy — Rate feed quality
  3. Seller Capital Recycling — Seller economics

Low (Can Answer in Phase 1)

  1. Fiat Chargeback Risk — Rare edge case
  2. SMS Delivery (Venezuela) — Infrastructure
  3. BCH Confirmation Reliability — Infrastructure
  4. Recipient Smartphone Access — Market data
  5. Cash Float Management — Merchant operations
  6. Corridor Demand Signals — Market expansion

Priority drives effort allocation. Phase 0 focuses on Critical and High unknowns first.


Current Status (May 2026)

Category Total Unknowns Not Started In Progress Answered
Economic 4 4 0 0
Behavioral 3 3 0 0
Technical 4 4 0 0
Market 3 3 0 0
Total 14 14 0 0

We’re at the beginning. This is honest status reporting. As investigations complete, this table updates.


How This Fits Into Asgaya’s Development

Phase -1 (Now): Documentation-first, structured ignorance

Phase 0 (Trial Period): Active investigation

Phase 1 (Public Launch): Informed decisions

The unknowns directory is a forcing function for intellectual honesty.



Meta-Note: Why This Works

Traditional approach:

  1. Make assumptions
  2. Build product
  3. Launch
  4. Discover what’s wrong
  5. Scramble to fix

Asgaya’s approach:

  1. Document assumptions as “unknowns”
  2. Invite investigation (permissionless)
  3. Answer critical unknowns before building
  4. Build with data-informed parameters
  5. Launch with known risks documented

Documentation-first development means unknown-first validation.

We’re not hiding our ignorance—we’re weaponizing it as a contribution opportunity.


Ready to contribute? Pick an unknown from the directory above and start investigating. No permission needed.

Questions? Email rufitnes@proton.me or open a GitHub issue.

Let’s turn unknowns into knowns—together.


🏠 Home 📖 Glossary

Related sections: Research · Why This Design? · The Mechanism